Friday, September 14, 2012

"Most Likely": Week 3

Here is Version 2 of my weekly “Most Likely” weekend preview, where I ask 5 questions of my top 15 teams.  As a review here are the dallas hokie PowerRankings: Week 2.

Note: Preface each statement with “The team most likely to…”

Get upset (must be a 10+ point line): ALABAMA– Remember, this is the big upset category and that is what it would be if Arkansas one this game.  But just remember a few things, Arkansas was a top 10 team coming into this game and they are playing at home.  Alabama might actually overlook Arkansas this week and give them a chance. 

Pull the starters in the 2nd quarter:  OREGON - This was actually a tough choice this week, with so many top teams playing some pretty easy games.  However, I chose Oregon because they are one of the most explosive teams in the NCAA and are playing a FCS team travelling across 3 time zones.   

Look worse than their ranking: FLORIDA STATE – Look for FSU to come out rocky in their first game against decent competition.  Plus, this is an ACC game, and you can usually count on those games to be closer than expected.  Plus Wake is coming off of an impressive and unexpected win against UNC and has beaten FSU 4 out of the last 6.  FSU wins but looks sloppy in the process.

Look better than their ranking: USC – I know they are currently ranked #2 (and have been all season in my book), but I think that this week they put pressure on Alabama for that #1 spot and get a few additional votes.  I think Alabama is in a no-win situation this week in that they are playing a pretty tough team that no one is expecting to be very good. 

Climb into the top 15: FLORIDA – I have the gators winning at Tennessee this week and think they jump a few spots with the win.  

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